6M Small Business Owners to Reach Retirement by 2035
Study finds that as baby boomers retire, their businesses are more likely to close than be sold
New research from the McKinsey Institute for Economic Mobility shows that by 2035, about six million U.S. small and medium-sized business owners will reach retirement. This figure represents over one million businesses that could be sold, totaling up to US$5 trillion in enterprise value.
Yet if current trends continue, 92% of these small businesses—defined as firms with less than $5 million in enterprise value—will close rather than be sold. Most lack the scale to attract institutional buyers, but their complexity makes informal handoffs difficult. Private equity firms and strategic acquirers typically pursue higher-value deals above the $5 million threshold, which excludes most micro- and middle-market firms, McKinsey reported.
With too few prepared buyers to take these businesses forward, McKinsey said closing that gap means building scalable ownership bridges, especially for communities long underrepresented among business owners. Currently, just 28% of the $5 trillion in enterprise value projected to transfer in the next decade—approximately $1.4 trillion—would go to women and Black and Latino people combined. Closing these participation gaps could potentially generate up to $3 trillion in new household wealth, making ownership transfers a significant near-term lever to address wealth disparities by geography, gender, and race.
McKinsey research finds that ownership transitions during the next decade could preserve up to 12 million jobs. Preserving them depends less on investing new capital and more on modernizing how buyers, sellers, and lenders connect so small-business succession can work at scale.
Of all U.S. companies, 99% are small businesses. They collectively employ over 60 million people—representing nearly half of the U.S. workforce—and account for 35% of total business revenue. Failed business transitions risk the loss of millions of jobs and the erosion of locally rooted opportunities for economic mobility.
ISSA’s INCLEAN February/March/April Edition is Now Online
ISSA’s INCLEAN February/March/April Digital Edition is now online and covers the trends, challenges, and opportunities shaping the cleaning and facility solutions industry today.
With the year in full swing and worksites alive again, this first INCLEAN edition for 2026 offers a moment to reset and move forward with intent. The cleaning and hygiene sector returns straight to the front line, sustaining safety, health, and trust while workplaces find their rhythm.
This issue marks its seventh Industry Leaders Forum, bringing together voices from across cleaning, hygiene, manufacturing, and services. Their perspectives align around shared challenges, new opportunities and regulatory shifts shaping daily operations.
The cover story traces the rise of women into senior leadership, where practical experience informs sharper decision making. The feature, “Data Before Dollars” explores procurement shaped by insight and performance tracking as margins tighten. “The Cost Case for Going Green” examines sustainability through a commercial lens, linking environmental action with efficiency, compliance, and client confidence.
Access the latest issue of INCLEAN here.
